XRP has now recorded five consecutive monthly losses, which highlights it sustained weakness from the 4th quarter of 2025. Cryptocurrency continues to trade sideways amid increased investor caution amid broader market volatility ongoing geopolitical tension. Notably, a crypto analyst noted that this is the second time in XRP’s history that it has registered a five-month negative streak. The last time this happened, the cryptocurrency recovered with an astonishing 4,300% increase. If historical patterns were to repeat themselves, XRP could set the stage for a similar breakout.
XRP retraces a rare 5-month red streak
A new report by crypto analyst @erasurev_v revealed that the price of XRP has been officially announced closed in the red for five months in a rowa pattern that has only appeared once before in the entire history of asset trading. Sharing a revelation in an X post this week, @erasurev_v noted the first and last time this negative streak occurred, XRP posted one of the biggest price increases ever recorded in the crypto market.
The previous five-month red streak ran from October 2016 to February 2017, with each month ending on a negative note. After this sequence, XRP entered three turns green moons and rose 4,300% before the end of the bull run. This huge price increase helped the cryptocurrency climb to an all-time high of $3.84, which it reached during. bull rally in 2018.
Notably, the current five-month negative period runs from October 2025 to February 2026, matching the previous month-to-month period. Based on this 5-month recurring streak, @erasurev_v predicts that the altcoin may reflect the same explosive dance that occurred during it. bull run 2017.
If the pattern plays out like this, the analyst predicts that the price could reach $60 by June 2026, which would reflect the same 4,300% price increase since 2017. If this bull run happens, XRP will close three consecutive months in the green since March of this year.
While this perspective may carry some weight, repeating a chart pattern does not guarantee the same result. Market conditions in 2026 will be significantly different from those in 2017, particularly in terms of market capitalization, global adoption, XRP Spot ETFsmacroeconomic dynamics and the regulatory landscape is evolving. However, five consecutive monthly red closes in XRP are rare enough that when it happens twice and coincides perfectly, it attracts significant attention.
Monthly returns from October 2025 to February 2026
According to monthly return data from CryptoRank, XRP started Its 5-month red streak is in October 2025, down 11.9% on the month. The bearish momentum deepened in November, when the token fell another 13.8%, and in December, with a 14.8% decline.
As the market entered 2026, Cryptocurrency continues to be a side businessdecreased by 10.6% at the end of the month. Sales accelerated in February, marking a sharp decline in the month from a five-month slide of 16.2%. Overall, XRP has lost more than 26% of its value in 2026.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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