XRP’s long decline has reduced its value by more than 60% from its 2025 peak, putting it inside the bullpen to watch. as an extended corrective phase. As expected, this led to it Questions among crypto investors As for whether XRP can rally again this year, it could rise to new highs and possibly above $4.
One analyst has now developed a scenario that suggests that XRP could soon complete its correction and start another upward wave that could eventually push the price to new highs.
XRP may be nearing the end of a long correction phase
The prevailing discussion of XRP’s decline in the past few months has been mainly the cryptocurrency’s summer 2025 all-time high of $3.65. According to an analyst who publishes in X, this reading may be completely wrong.
Related reading
Based on this analysisXRP’s impulsive wave ended by January 2025, when XRP reached a peak above $3.30. This was a few months before the all-time record was printed. The underlying wave originating in July 2024 is best suited as an impulsive structure that ended in January 2025, with price action, including the ATH, forming a corrective pattern.
The last major corrective stretch on the weekly chart lasted 61 weeks from top to bottom and wiped out about 85% of XRP’s value before the next meaningful recovery began. Applying the same time window in January 2025 would end the current reforms around mid-March 2026.
XRP price chart. Source: @protechtor On X
As shown in the chart above, XRP’s previous correction after 2021 appeared inside a descending channel and lasted 61 bars or 427 days before finding a low. The price reduction at this stage reached about 85.34%.
The current structure on the right side of the chart is similar to the previous distribution in both shape and duration. This time, the decline is around 71.52% year-to-date, with the same 61-week duration highlighted as the main time marker. A bearish trend is cutting the current price structure and equals $1.05. According to the analyst, this level could serve as the ultimate downside target for XRP it is not over yet.
Will XRP still hit $4 in 2026?
A move to $4 in 2026 would require XRP to work beyond support, but the scenario is not unrealistic. if the current correction is nearing its end. The rally would represent a roughly 281% gain from the analyst’s suggested cut of $1.05 to $4. Even from the price zone shown in the chart, around $1.38, XRP still have to climb up 200% to recover and break from the upper boundary of the current corrective structure.
Related reading
Confirmed monthly bottom followed by a strong pushback above the horizontal resistance field at $1.80 is probably the first signal. From there, the uptrend of the current structure and previous highs in the $3.4 to $3.6 range will be the next price targets. This is it where $4 is discussed becomes more realistic.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
