Why this analyst is betting that MicroStrategy stock could gain 25% from here


The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is once again taking center stage in geopolitical tensions. The recent spike in oil prices has led to a decline in the broader crypto market. However, crypto bulls still remain positive in Bitcoin’s direction.

Analysts at B.Riley Securities initiated coverage on Bitcoin treasury company, Strategy (MSTR), also known as MicroStrategy, with a “Buy” rating and a $175 price target, implying 26.5% upside from current levels.

Analysts at B.Riley noted that the strategy has a diversified capital base, cash reserves, and a responsible approach to BTC accumulation, which makes it well equipped to handle the current environment.

Against this background, we take a closer look at the strategy.

Headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia, Strategy specializes in business intelligence software and mobile applications that enable data analysis for informed decision making. Its core operations focus on providing analytics platforms to governments, retailers, banks, and industries such as technology, healthcare, and telecommunications.

The company underwent a major transformation, rebranding from MicroStrategy and evolving into the world’s first popular Bitcoin treasury company, maintaining significant cryptocurrency reserves as a core strategy while maintaining its software roots. The company has a market capitalization of $46.2 billion.

As Bitcoin struggles, strategy stocks, due to exposure to cryptocurrencies, have followed suit. Over the past 52 weeks, the strategy stock has declined by 48.48%. The stock is also down 10.97% year-to-date (YTD). The stock hit a 52-week high of $457.22 on July 2025, but is 70% below that level, while it hit a 52-week low of $104.17 on Feb. 5, but is 31.8% above that level.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

Selling has reduced the value of the strategy. On a previously adjusted basis, the price-to-earnings ratio of 2.72x is lower than the industry average of 21.76x.

On February 5, Strategy reported fourth-quarter results for fiscal 2025. The company reported total revenue of $122.99 million for Q4. It achieved a full-year 2025 BTC yield of 22.8%, matching the full-year 2025 target range of 22.0% to 26.0%. For the full year 2025, the strategy recorded a bitcoin gain of $8.90 billion, based on a price of $87,515 on December 31, 2025.

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