Iran War and Rising Oil Prices: Bitcoin Is Falling, But Is Crypto Safe?


The escalation of the Iran war following the US and Israeli attacks has effectively choked off the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important oil pipeline. And you can guess it: oil prices are already skyrocketing. The ramifications of an Iran war would be far-reaching, affecting everything from gasoline prices to crypto.

As oil prices soar, recording their biggest jump in four years, it creates a domino effect. Higher oil prices mean it costs more to transport goods, heat homes and run businesses. This causes inflation (increased prices for everything). And here’s the problem with crypto: when inflation heats up, the Federal Reserve (the US bank that controls the money supply) is more likely to cut interest rates.

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Iran War Impacts Crypto: Bitcoin’s “Risk” Challenge

You might be asking, “Wait, isn’t Bitcoin digital gold? Shouldn’t it go up in times of crisis?”

It is a fair question. Traditionally, gold is a “safe haven”. Gold prices actually rose to near $5,400 amid the chaos. However, Bitcoin currently behaves as a “risky” asset, similar to technology stocks. As fear gripped the market, investors dumped anything they perceived as volatile. This is why we’ve been seeing massive crypto liquidations lately, especially on weekends when liquidity is thin.

Information on liquidation
Source of liquidation information: Coinglass

This massive flood of “long” positions drives the price down even further, triggering a cascade of sales. Institutional investors, who have driven much of the recent price action, are pulling back to assess losses. We’ve seen this kind of caution in recent weeks with the ETF exit, suggesting that the big players would rather sit on their hands than take a falling knife during a time of geopolitical uncertainty.

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Bitcoin Price: $60,000 as an important support level

Bitcoin price action
Source of Bitcoin price action: TradingView

The Iran war is spooking the crypto markets. So where does the bleeding stop? Currently, Bitcoin is moving in the middle of $66,000, but the charts show that we are in a dangerous place. The immediate control area is about $63,000. A break here could push BTC USD dangerously close to $60,000. A break of this barrier could lead to a further decline in the range of $50,000-$52,000.

This $60,000 level is important because it represents a psychological safety net for many investors. A decline in panic can lead to deeper selling as panic sets in. However, it should be noted that previous declines during geopolitical conflicts (such as the start of Russia and Ukraine) were often quickly bought back after the initial shock subsided.

The market hates uncertainty more than bad news; As the scope of the Iran war becomes clearer, stability often returns.

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Main roads

  • Bitcoin fell to $66,000 after the escalation of the Iran war and a 13% rise in oil prices, fueled by tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Unlike gold, Bitcoin is currently acting as a “risk” asset, suffering a liquidation of more than $350 million as fears of inflation rise.
  • Investors should watch the $60,000 psychological support level and avoid high leverage trades while volatility remains high.

Iran War and Rising Oil Prices: Bitcoin Is Falling, But Is Crypto Safe? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.



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