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Altcoins are closing in on holdings despite Bitcoin’s recent rout. Analysts suggest that the market is waiting for a solvent catalyst before starting a concerted move.
According to Altcoin Vector, the sector’s “Alts Impulse” indicator has remained neutral, which means that the momentum across alternative cryptocurrencies is not yet fully activated. While Bitcoin’s collapse has created the conditions for altcoins to follow suit, timing is of the essence.
The analyst notes that a sustained move above the 25% threshold in the positive momentum reading likely signals a green light for broader market participation. Until this level is breached and held, the sector is effectively congested as traders await confirmation.
Other market observers believe that the technical conditions are gradually adjusting for a possible explosive reversal. Analyst Mark Chadwick pointed to a multi-year compression pattern forming in the Ethereum, XRP, Solana, Cardano and BNB markets, with prices consolidating within a major curve after a long rallying phase.
A recent bullish signal in the TradingView Relative Strength Index for February 2026 also strengthened the case for a breakout. The last time a similar installation appeared was in 2020. Chadwick argues that the same compression-to-expansion dynamic may now reemerge.
 
Young Marks also noted that altcoin dominance usually enters strong bullish phases after the formation of recognizable charts. In 2017, the advantage broke out of the ascending channel before the first major altcoin season. In 2021, it broke out of a high pennant and generated another wave of gains.
Marks says that the current structure resembles a bearish close to its breaking point, and technical indicators suggest that a potential expansion phase of the altcoin could occur if momentum builds.
Despite these bullish signals, CoinMarketCap’s data points to Bitcoin’s bullish season. The Altcoin Season Index currently stands at 34 out of 100, up slightly from 37 yesterday, 35 last week, and 22 a month ago. The index reached 78 in September 2025 and 12 in April 2025.
Even in this environment, several tokens have recorded impressive gains over the past 90 days, including RIVER at 343%, KITE at 226%, and H at 163%.
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