XRP price has returned to technical levels that have historically marked some of its most explosive rallies. After weathering a sharp 62% correction that hit $1.10 on February 6, the token is once again testing its long-term uptrend line of support.
Meanwhile, the broader crypto market has shown signs of recovery this week, offering some relief. On Wednesday, the price of XRP rose nearly 6%, while Bitcoin (BTC) broke above the crucial $70,000 level, restoring some optimism in risk assets despite ongoing global tensions.
XRP historical price support
On Wednesday reportmarket analyst Sam Daodu noted that the price of XRP is on the same upward trend that has historically been preceded by strong bullish developments – including a 630% rally in 2024 and an extraordinary increase of more than 60,000% in 2017.
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What makes this retest different, Daodu noted, is that it’s the first time with a fully established XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it.
Since their launch in November 2025, the US has been watching XRP exchange funds 1.24 billion US dollars were attracted for four consecutive positive months. About 797 million XRP are currently held in ETF custody.
At the same time, institutional wallets accumulated an additional 170 million XRP during the recent price drop. Ripple also re-pledged 700 million XRP on March 1, maintaining and limiting its standard issuance cycle. new supply from entering the market.
The season of March adds another layer to the setup. Over the past 12 years, XRP has gained an average of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest first quarter month ever.
$4 Target appears
From a technical point of view, the $1.27 level is the first area of support to watch. It corresponds to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement levels and served as a bear market floor during the correction.
Below, the $1.10-$1.11 zone marks the exact location of the long-term uptrend line that took place in February. A decisive break below $1.10 would mark the first failure of this channel since 2015 and could expose the XRP price to a deeper decline to $0.85-$1.00.
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Above, $1.47 is the closest Fibonacci resistance, followed by the $1.50 necklace. double bottom. A sustained decline above $1.50 confirms the pattern and predicts a move to $1.68-1.70.
Beyond this range, data on the chain shows that around 1.85 billion XRP have accumulated between $1.76 and $1.80, an area where holders can exit the breakout and potentially create significant resistance.
The most important supply cluster is between $2.40 and $2.60; a week above this band invalidates the broader bearish structure and signals a decisive trend reversal.
Combining March’s historical strength, bearish signals and structural supply constraints, Daodu suggests that XRP prices will likely reach a range of $2.50 to $4.00 by the end of 2026.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
