On Monday, March 2, 2026, VanEck CEO Jan van Eck said, “There is an investment cycle, Bitcoin goes up for three years in a row and then goes down significantly for the fourth year. 2026 is the fourth year. So we are in a bear market for Bitcoin. So I think we can make it more difficult now.”
“Our vision coming into 2026 is that Bitcoin will be managed with a limited supply of 21 million and a halving period where the Bitcoin miners who run the network will be paid half the number of Bitcoins every four years,” he said.
Pointing to the end of the four-year cycle, van Eck said his company expects Bitcoin (BTC) to rise gradually this year, arguing that the semi-four-year cycle has been the main driver of price over the past few months, rather than anything related to BTC fundamentals.
VANECK CEO JAN VAN ECK: “I think we’re bottoming out in Bitcoin”
VanEck CEO Jan van Eck said he believes $BTC The bottom of the market marks a significant change in tone from the asset management giant, which launched one of the first Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. pic.twitter.com/rYMecqf1JS
— BSCN (@BSCNews) March 2, 2026
The $1.1 Billion Signal: How Institutional Crypto Is Moving
If Bitcoin’s bottom is indeed formed in the $60,000-$64,000 range, the bulls’ immediate objective is to pull back and hold the $68,400 level. A sustained break above $72,000 would likely confirm that the correction is over and the post-afternoon rally has resumed.
While the headlines focus on volatility, the institutional giants move quietly. We’ve seen more than $1.1 billion in net Bitcoin ETF inflows over the past week. This is a staggering amount of capital, which tells us one thing: the world’s biggest asset managers believe that Bitcoin is now trading at a discount.
This behavior is typical of Crypto Institutional. When prices fall and retail sentiment sours, institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity often accelerate their accumulation. They are not day trading for a quick 5%; they position themselves for the next leg up.
It’s not just the US giants either. We see global confirmation of this trend, such as Intesa Sanpaolo’s recent investment in Bitcoin ETFs, which further confirms that smart money sees these levels as an entry point, not an exit.
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What is the 4 year cycle of Bitcoin?
At the same time, the gap in the market has increased. If you look at the Fear and Greed Index, the sentiment is palpable. Retailers are weary of the sideways movement and the recent low to $60,000.
According to VanEck CEO Jan van Eck, the answer lies in predicting the history of Bitcoin. He claims that analysts often overcomplicate the market and ignore the fact that the 4-year cycle remains the dominant force driving price action.
The 4-year cycle is built around the Bitcoin Halving, an event programmed into the Bitcoin code that halves the supply of new coins every four years. Historically, this supply shock creates a predictable rhythm: a parabolic run, a correction year, and a recovery phase.
Van Eck suggests that the current price is the only market that follows this script. Rather than a broken market, we are likely to see a natural bottom before the supply squeeze really begins. This thesis is supported by on-chain data showing that bitcoin mining capitulation is nearing its end, a technical signal that has historically marked the floor of a major correction.
Main roads
- Institutional demand increased and despite retail fears, Bitcoin ETF inflows recorded more than $1.1 billion for the week.
- Investors should watch the $58,000 support level as an important line in the sand, while targeting a retracement of $72,000 to confirm the upside.
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