Bumblebees guesses because Thirst is macro-proof


Bumblebees guesses because Thirst is macro-proof
Bumblebees guess because the thirst is macro-proof – Moby

War, inflation, and general civilizational malaise cannot keep the horn and the lonesome from sweeping the truth. Bumble posted Q4 revenue of $224.2 million on Wednesday, versus estimates of $221.3 million, sending shares down about 20% after hours as investors decided the turnaround story was still a story worth buying.

The change in question belongs to Whitney Wolfe Hurd, who founded Bumble after a lawsuit against her former employer, Tinder, stepped down from the CEO role, and then walked back through the door about a year ago to make the product smell and young users stand out. This week, while she was busy beating the odds, Tinder’s aqcuirerer Match Group, quietly slipped out of the S&P 500. If the Wolf Herd keeps a scrapbook of “The Count of Monte Cristo”-esque revenge, it gets a whole page.

Its answer to Bumble’s debacle is Bumble 2.0, a redesigned app that swaps out the flat-swipe carousel for a chapter-based profile structure meant to give users something to actually read before matching. He also ignores the no-swipe option in the best markets, which is either a true rethinking of the medium or the boldest pivot since Netflix sent you a DVD and called it streaming. An AI dating assistant that learns your preferences through private conversations is also in testing, dystopian undertones included at no extra cost.

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The numbers underneath it all are interesting. Revenue per paying subscriber rose 7.9% to $22.20 even as the paying user base fell 20.5% to 3.3 million. Fewer people spend more because Singapore has an apparently stronger single economy. The cost of performance marketing has been reduced by more than 80% per year, the condition of organic growth compared to paid acquisition that makes Wolf Herd a feature-first axis. First-quarter guidance of $209 million to $213 million clears Street expectations of $210.9 million, narrowly but cleanly.

There is money in apps.

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