Wall Street thinks CrowdStrike is destined to be an AI winner. Should you buy CRWD stock here?


CrowdStrike (CRWD) stock is enjoying a greener day at a time when software stocks are facing existential threats due to AI. The main reason for optimism is, of course, the latest earnings, but analysts have also come out with positive comments, assuring investors that things are not as bad as many have portrayed since last month. Some lowered their target prices but maintained a bullish stance on the company’s outlook.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives kept the company on the IVES AI 30 list, calling the company “the gold standard of cybersecurity.” Ives believes the company’s Falcon platform is not under threat from AI. Instead, it becomes even more relevant in today’s AI threat landscape. Evercore was more or less neutral, calling the company’s performance in line with expectations. Morgan Stanley maintained a positive outlook, impressed by the company’s ability to scale its operations and continue to grow. While these developments are positive, they are made all the more compelling by the recent rebound in stock prices.

CrowdStrike is known for its Falcon Platform, a cloud-native cybersecurity platform that uses AI and machine learning to detect and thwart cyber attacks. The company has an important role to play in the mainstreaming of AI and AI agents. It is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

CRWD stock has returned 39% over the past 12 months, while the iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (IHAK) has declined 6% during the same period. CrowdStrike enjoys a premium among cybersecurity companies, so it’s no surprise that it has significantly outperformed its peers.

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Despite doubling over the past five years, CRWD stock is trading at a discount to its five-year average based on various metrics.

For example, the forward price-to-book ratio of 19.15x is significantly lower than the five-year average of 30.22x. On a forward price-to-cash-flow basis, it trades at a multiple of 52.46x, very high but still below the five-year average of 65.24x. What’s more, the discount comes with impressive revenue growth prospects. The company will grow 30.3% in 2027, 27% in 2028 and 31.3% in 2029.

Yes, it also trades at a forward P/E of 88.26x, but it’s expected to be a growing company, especially one that’s a class above the rest. What’s more, this forward P/E is still less than half of the five-year average forward P/E of 193x. Substantial discount.

CrowdStrike announced its 4Q earnings report on March 4th. It reported revenue of $1.31 billion and net income of $38.7 million. While net income fell 141.9% year-over-year (YoY), strong operating cash flow of $497.9 million means the company is doing better than profits would suggest. The company failed to beat Wall Street estimates in the quarter despite registering 23.3% YoY revenue growth.

Annual recurring revenue for fiscal year 2027 is expected to be between $6.466 billion and $6.516 billion. This reflects a growth rate of 23% to 24%, healthy enough to dispel doubts about confusion from recent AI models. In a response to RBC’s Matthew Hedberg, management noted that protecting AI agents is a huge opportunity and one that the company is well positioned to capitalize on. Of course, there is a threat from AI, considering that it is a technology in development and brings new challenges with each innovation. That’s a risk investors should consider if they’re betting on CrowdStrike being a major defender of AI cloud workloads.

Analysts have lowered their price targets on CRWD stock over the past few days. Citi analyst Fatima Bolani cut her price target on the stock to $525 from $610, while UBS analyst Roger Boyd lowered his price target to $525 from $590.

These new targets, while lower than previous targets, still represent significant progress. Software sales have driven stocks to such lows that the risk-reward ratio is in favor of those brave enough to invest against the trend.

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As of the date of publication, Gibran Kundi has no position (either directly or indirectly) in any warranty mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are for informational purposes only. This article was originally published on Barchart.com

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